In a rematch of the top three finishers from the Kentucky Derby (G1), I'm supporting runner-up #7 Journalism (2-1) to turn the tables on the victorious #2 Sovereignty (5-2).
Journalism didn't get the cleanest run in the early stages of the Derby and also raced significantly closer to a hot early pace. He's since bounced back to win a traffic-filled edition of the Preakness (G1) in spectacular fashion, and a sharp workout at Saratoga on Sunday suggests Journalism is ready to deliver another giant run in the Belmont.
My second choice is #6 Baeza (7-2), the third-place finisher from the Kentucky Derby. He ran into traffic around the far turn of the Derby, but regrouped to rally late and finish only a neck behind Journalism. This rapidly improving half-brother to 2024 Belmont winner Dornoch has more tactical speed than Sovereignty and may step forward enough to snatch second prize from the Derby winner.
Sovereignty warrants much respect off his stretch-running triumph at Churchill Downs, but I believe he received the best trip and pace setup of the top three finishers that day.
Belmont selections
1st: Journalism
2nd: Baeza
3rd: Sovereignty